NASDAQ · STOCK
Corebridge Financial
$31.19
52W $22.19 – $36.57
51/100
$14.05B
56.7
1.03
Is CRBG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Corebridge Financial (CRBG) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.88 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -53.6% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 58.2 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 2.0% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -53.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 141 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.2x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 58.2 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -53.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.5 to 50.9.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->61 (+4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.093
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$30.99
Resistance
$32.11
Bollinger %B
0.48
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$31.54
Below
EMA 21
$30.99
Above
EMA 50
$29.71
Above
EMA 200
$29.06
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
30
Profitability
0
Financial Health
37
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
56.7×
P/B Ratio
1.37×
PEG Ratio
0.53
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$36.57
52W Low
$22.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2.8%
ROA
-0.1%
Gross Margin
77.7%
Operating Margin
6.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 56.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.0%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.8%; Current ratio of 0.00 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.01; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.46); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.7%; EPS growth decelerating (+27.1% -> -13.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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