NASDAQ · STOCK
Cintas
$204.59
52W $161.16 – $226.75
53/100
$81.89B
41.2
0.93
Is CTAS Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Cintas (CTAS) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 27.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 41.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 42.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 13.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 41.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 42.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.2 to 53.1.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 54->68 (+15); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
53.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.559
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$184.88
Resistance
$209.03
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$206.23
Below
EMA 21
$198.07
Above
EMA 50
$188.07
Above
EMA 200
$187.04
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
67
Profitability
1
Financial Health
76
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.2×
P/B Ratio
15.93×
PEG Ratio
3.76
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$226.75
52W Low
$161.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
38.9%
ROA
19.0%
Gross Margin
50.7%
Operating Margin
23.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.53
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.2 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.9x; PEG ratio of 3.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.43 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.53; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.70); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.9%; EPS growth accelerating (+2.5% -> +4.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 19.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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