NASDAQ · STOCK
Chevron Corporation
$176.32
52W $146.49 – $214.71
64/100
$346.64B
31.6
0.52
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Risk Analyst: Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.22) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.2% downside vs 3.4% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait
− P/E of 31.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -3.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.22) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.952
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$167.15
Resistance
$182.39
Bollinger %B
0.58
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$173.14
Above
EMA 21
$175.28
Above
EMA 50
$180.23
Below
EMA 200
$175.15
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
40
Profitability
38
Financial Health
65
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.6×
P/B Ratio
1.65×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
4.09%
52W High
$214.71
52W Low
$146.49
Quality & Growth
ROE
623.0%
ROA
358.0%
Gross Margin
4197.0%
Operating Margin
895.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-365.0%
Debt / Equity
0.22
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -3.6%; EPS growth (YoY) of -34.0%; Return on equity of 6.2%; Return on assets of 3.6%; Net margin of 5.9%; Gross margin of 42.0%; Current ratio of 1.15 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.22; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 46.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-17.8% -> -7.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.2% downside vs 3.4% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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