NASDAQ · STOCK
Curtiss-Wright
$719.68
52W $463.00 – $808.16
53/100
—
51.6
0.86
Explore CW Further
Is CW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Curtiss-Wright (CW) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Technical Analyst remains cautious — rsi at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or below 30 signals oversold conditions — bullish entry bias.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-7.168) — bearish momentum.
- Fundamental score is weak (34.0/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 19.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 51.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.1 to 53.4.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 43% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 70).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-7.168
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$685.82
Resistance
$729.42
Bollinger %B
0.01
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$733.49
Below
EMA 21
$744.28
Below
EMA 50
$740.20
Below
EMA 200
$658.95
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
10
Growth
42
Profitability
1
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
51.6×
P/B Ratio
9.94×
PEG Ratio
2.41
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$808.16
52W Low
$463.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
19.1%
ROA
9.3%
Gross Margin
37.2%
Operating Margin
18.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.44
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 51.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.9x; PEG ratio of 2.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.52 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.44; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (16.01); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.2%; EPS growth decelerating (+11.5% -> -8.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-7.168) — bearish momentum.
- Fundamental score is weak (34.0/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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