NASDAQ · STOCK
Deere & Company
$592.66
52W $433.00 – $674.19
52/100
$159.98B
33.5
0.90
Is DE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Deere & Company (DE) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 33.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.46 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -14.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.91 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 71%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 18.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 33.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -14.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 30 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.0 to 51.6.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 60->64 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.996
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$549.88
Resistance
$619.19
Bollinger %B
0.35
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$607.50
Below
EMA 21
$604.60
Below
EMA 50
$595.71
Below
EMA 200
$557.57
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
53
Growth
85
Profitability
0
Financial Health
4
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.5×
P/B Ratio
5.84×
PEG Ratio
-2.28
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$674.19
52W Low
$433.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
19.4%
ROA
4.7%
Gross Margin
35.4%
Operating Margin
18.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.8x; PEG ratio of -2.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 0.79 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.34; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (13.95); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.5%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-38.4% -> +170.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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