NASDAQ · STOCK
Emerson Electric
$149.82
52W $122.64 – $165.15
55/100
$83.91B
34.4
1.24
Is EMR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Emerson Electric (EMR) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.63 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.88 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 27 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 34.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Current ratio of 0.88 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 34.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.88 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 27 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 58.8 to 54.6.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 57% to 43%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 70->66 (-4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 52->35 (-18).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
64.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.194
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$128.19
Resistance
$150.26
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$146.54
Above
EMA 21
$143.84
Above
EMA 50
$142.13
Above
EMA 200
$138.67
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
27
Growth
52
Profitability
0
Financial Health
48
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
34.4×
P/B Ratio
4.14×
PEG Ratio
10.36
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$165.15
52W Low
$122.64
Quality & Growth
ROE
11.3%
ROA
5.5%
Gross Margin
52.7%
Operating Margin
20.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.69
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 34.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of 10.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.87 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.69; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.55); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.7%; EPS growth accelerating (-9.9% -> +5.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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