NASDAQ · STOCK
Equity Residential
$66.46
52W $57.57 – $71.50
49/100
$24.91B
28.8
0.75
Is EQR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Equity Residential (EQR) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.14 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.06 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.2% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 28.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- EPS declining -12.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.06 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 61 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.2% pays you to wait
− P/E of 28.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -12.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.06 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 53.4 to 49.1.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 52->35 (-18).
- Technical Analyst: score 58->54 (-5); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.300
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$65.39
Resistance
$67.02
Bollinger %B
-0.04
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$67.77
Below
EMA 21
$67.99
Below
EMA 50
$67.22
Below
EMA 200
$64.98
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
59
Profitability
1
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.8×
P/B Ratio
2.42×
PEG Ratio
-2.04
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$71.50
52W Low
$57.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.1%
ROA
5.4%
Gross Margin
46.0%
Operating Margin
28.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.8 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 0.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.55); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 30.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-76.0% -> +29.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -38.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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