NASDAQ · STOCK
CareTrust REIT
$43.39
52W $30.26 – $43.10
63/100
—
27.0
0.79
Explore CTRE Further
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CTRE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates CareTrust REIT (CTRE) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 21, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 15.0% downside vs 1.1% upside.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 21, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.6% pays you to wait
− P/E of 30.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 58.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.22) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 62.8 to 62.8.
Comparing 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-21 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
66.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.184
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$36.09
Resistance
$42.89
Bollinger %B
0.85
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$41.45
Above
EMA 21
$40.67
Above
EMA 50
$39.97
Above
EMA 200
$37.76
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
80
Growth
43
Profitability
1
Financial Health
90
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
27.0×
P/B Ratio
2.29×
PEG Ratio
0.38
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$43.10
52W Low
$30.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
7.9%
ROA
6.2%
Gross Margin
73.8%
Operating Margin
61.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.22
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 27.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.7%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 1.75 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.22; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.78); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 2.3%; EPS growth decelerating (+42.9% -> -30.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 15.0% downside vs 1.1% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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