NASDAQ · STOCK
STAG Industrial
$41.77
52W $33.72 – $42.61
52/100
—
32.4
0.98
Explore STAG Further
Is STAG Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates STAG Industrial (STAG) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 78.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (89.8) confirms overbought conditions.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 6.5% downside vs 1.4% upside.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.7% pays you to wait
− P/E of 32.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
44
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -2.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 78 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.67 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.6 to 51.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
78.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.313
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$39.12
Resistance
$42.39
Bollinger %B
1.04
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$40.47
Above
EMA 21
$39.59
Above
EMA 50
$38.87
Above
EMA 200
$37.95
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
73
Growth
62
Profitability
1
Financial Health
40
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.4×
P/B Ratio
2.23×
PEG Ratio
-10.78
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$42.61
52W Low
$33.72
Quality & Growth
ROE
7.6%
ROA
3.8%
Gross Margin
61.8%
Operating Margin
37.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.90
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of -10.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 0.79 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.90; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.26); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 40.5%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+69.2% -> -27.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 78.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (89.8) confirms overbought conditions.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 6.5% downside vs 1.4% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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