NASDAQ · STOCK
Extra Space Storage
$148.17
52W $125.71 – $158.88
56/100
$31.28B
32.7
1.20
Is EXR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Extra Space Storage (EXR) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.74 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.26 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.34 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 33.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Current ratio of 0.34 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 61 Real Estate peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 4.4% pays you to wait
− P/E of 33.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.34 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 56.3.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 57% to 43%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.257
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$143.22
Resistance
$148.81
Bollinger %B
0.62
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$148.57
Below
EMA 21
$147.59
Above
EMA 50
$146.09
Above
EMA 200
$143.24
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
72
Growth
69
Profitability
1
Financial Health
35
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.7×
P/B Ratio
2.36×
PEG Ratio
-12.66
Dividend Yield
0.04%
52W High
$158.88
52W Low
$125.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
7.2%
ROA
3.3%
Gross Margin
23.0%
Operating Margin
43.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.09
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -12.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 0.34 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.09; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.03); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.2% -> +9.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 5.9%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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