NASDAQ · STOCK
FTI Consulting
$159.22
52W $137.65 – $189.30
59/100
—
19.6
-0.04
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FCN Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates FTI Consulting (FCN) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.09 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.91 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 14%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 15.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.2 to 58.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 62->48 (-14); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.827
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$157.35
Resistance
$168.38
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$162.82
Below
EMA 21
$159.77
Below
EMA 50
$158.79
Above
EMA 200
$164.77
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
78
Growth
63
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.6×
P/B Ratio
3.83×
PEG Ratio
1.23
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$189.30
52W Low
$137.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
15.6%
ROA
7.8%
Gross Margin
31.8%
Operating Margin
9.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.16
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.8x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 2.03 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.16; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (13.36); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 5.4%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (+6.7% -> +13.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 1.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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