NASDAQ · STOCK
FedEx
$314.44
52W $216.10 – $404.03
67/100
$74.17B
16.8
1.27
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 83% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 10.2% downside vs 1.6% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Unanimous
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 15.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
44.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.956
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$282.54
Resistance
$319.42
Bollinger %B
0.32
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$314.43
Above
EMA 21
$323.30
Below
EMA 50
$339.93
Below
EMA 200
$324.89
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
74
Profitability
63
Financial Health
61
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.8×
P/B Ratio
1.86×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.57%
52W High
$404.03
52W Low
$216.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
1576.0%
ROA
498.0%
Gross Margin
6260.0%
Operating Margin
620.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+469.0%
Debt / Equity
0.73
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 4.7%; EPS growth (YoY) of 17.9%; Return on equity of 15.8%; Return on assets of 5.0%; Net margin of 4.9%; Gross margin of 62.6%; Current ratio of 1.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.73; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.8%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+8.9% -> +20.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 10.2% downside vs 1.6% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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