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Comfort Systems USA

FIX Construction Unknown Updated July 11, 2026
$1,754.60
52W $513.99 – $2073.99
62/100
$62.71B
51.5
1.71
Price History (6M)
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
Conviction: Contested · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+18.1%
-79.6%
0.23:1
75%
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: Revenue growing 38.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Weekly trend: uptrend.
  • Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
  • Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram is negative (-24.094) — bearish momentum.
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 79.6% downside vs 18.1% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst neutral
49 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 51.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 50.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst bullish
83 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 38.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 23.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 46 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bullish
75 / 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
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Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-24.094
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$358.19
Resistance
$2071.66
Bollinger %B
0.22
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,789.72 Below
EMA 21
$1,836.29 Below
EMA 50
$1,813.14 Below
EMA 200
$1,403.08 Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
90
Profitability
68
Financial Health
67
Valuation
P/E Ratio 51.5×
P/B Ratio 13.44×
PEG Ratio
Dividend Yield 0.18%
52W High $2073.99
52W Low $513.99
Quality & Growth
ROE 5169.0%
ROA 2021.0%
Gross Margin 2513.0%
Operating Margin 1570.0%
Revenue Growth YoY +3843.0%
Debt / Equity 0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 51.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 13.4x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 38.4%; EPS growth (YoY) of 107.8%; Return on equity of 51.7%; Return on assets of 20.2%; Net margin of 12.1%; Gross margin of 25.1%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 52.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+13.6% -> +12.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
  • MACD histogram is negative (-24.094) — bearish momentum.
  • Risk/reward is unfavorable: 79.6% downside vs 18.1% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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