NASDAQ · STOCK
Comfort Systems USA
$1,727.79
52W $655.96 – $2073.99
59/100
$60.88B
42.5
1.66
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FIX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Comfort Systems USA (FIX) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.36 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 53.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 46.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 108.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 43.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 13.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 12%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 53.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 43.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 46.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.06) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 64 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 59.4.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 66->70 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->62 (+4); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-3.073
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$358.19
Resistance
$2071.66
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,696.44
Above
EMA 21
$1,736.89
Below
EMA 50
$1,767.37
Below
EMA 200
$1,446.51
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
89
Profitability
1
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
42.5×
P/B Ratio
18.94×
PEG Ratio
0.39
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$2073.99
52W Low
$655.96
Quality & Growth
ROE
41.8%
ROA
15.9%
Gross Margin
25.7%
Operating Margin
16.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 42.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 18.9x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.10; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (61.32); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 18.7%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+12.2% -> +19.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 91.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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