NASDAQ · STOCK
Generac
$197.14
52W $134.80 – $296.44
49/100
$11.60B
44.7
1.90
Is GNRC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Generac (GNRC) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.20 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 50 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 34.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.96 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 50 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 44.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- EPS declining -25.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 13 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 34.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 90%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 44.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -25.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− RSI at 13 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 34.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.53 across 50 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.1 to 49.2.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 6 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 7 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 40->48 (+8); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
27.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.434
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$183.94
Resistance
$199.73
Bollinger %B
0.22
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$202.14
Below
EMA 21
$218.14
Below
EMA 50
$234.35
Below
EMA 200
$213.33
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
91
Profitability
0
Financial Health
99
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
44.7×
P/B Ratio
4.01×
PEG Ratio
-1.61
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$296.44
52W Low
$134.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
6.1%
ROA
2.9%
Gross Margin
39.5%
Operating Margin
9.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 44.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.0x; PEG ratio of -1.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 2.04 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.52; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.47); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 41.8%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+11.8% -> +61.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 76.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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