NASDAQ · STOCK
W. W. Grainger
$1,382.23
52W $906.52 – $1419.91
55/100
$65.26B
37.0
1.03
Is GWW Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates W. W. Grainger (GWW) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.21 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.79 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — news sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 24 articles, 14d) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 47.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -4.8% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 45%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 47.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 36.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -4.8% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 24 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 58.3 to 54.8.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 57% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 70).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-3.993
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.63
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,374.44
Above
EMA 21
$1,367.18
Above
EMA 50
$1,327.81
Above
EMA 200
$1,182.20
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
37
Growth
76
Profitability
1
Financial Health
95
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.0×
P/B Ratio
16.64×
PEG Ratio
-7.84
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$1419.91
52W Low
$906.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
45.7%
ROA
19.0%
Gross Margin
39.1%
Operating Margin
14.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.71
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 16.6x; PEG ratio of -7.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.5%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 2.69 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.71; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (29.15); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 13.0%; EPS growth accelerating (-7.5% -> +23.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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