NASDAQ · STOCK
GXO Logistics
$50.16
52W $45.40 – $66.85
50/100
$5.77B
43.1
1.61
Is GXO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates GXO Logistics (GXO) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.40 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.60 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 44.0 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 84.0% YoY — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.57 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 44.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 4.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 87%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 44.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 84.0% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.85 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.22 across 9 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.0 to 49.6.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.334
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$49.38
Resistance
$52.98
Bollinger %B
0.22
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$51.81
Below
EMA 21
$51.78
Below
EMA 50
$51.52
Below
EMA 200
$52.27
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
64
Growth
51
Profitability
0
Financial Health
14
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
43.1×
P/B Ratio
1.94×
PEG Ratio
0.51
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$66.85
52W Low
$45.40
Quality & Growth
ROE
1.1%
ROA
0.3%
Gross Margin
12.7%
Operating Margin
3.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 43.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 0.85 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.01; Free cash flow margin of 1.1% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.73); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 34.3%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+10.1% -> -42.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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