NASDAQ · STOCK
Huntington Ingalls Industries
$326.98
52W $259.00 – $460.00
55/100
$12.86B
19.4
0.25
Is HII Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.68 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.32 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 58.4 to 55.3.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 67% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 60->77 (+17); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->54 (-8); +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
74.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
5.889
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$253.75
Resistance
$328.93
Bollinger %B
1.16
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$298.60
Above
EMA 21
$291.13
Above
EMA 50
$300.04
Above
EMA 200
$324.03
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
85
Profitability
0
Financial Health
67
Cash Flow
38
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.4×
P/B Ratio
2.43×
PEG Ratio
0.75
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$460.00
52W Low
$259.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
11.9%
ROA
4.8%
Gross Margin
12.6%
Operating Margin
5.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.55
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 19.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.23 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.55; Free cash flow margin of 1.1% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.52); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 37.2%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-6.2% -> +39.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 36.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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