NASDAQ · STOCK
Hamilton Lane
$88.91
52W $71.88 – $161.13
53/100
$4.94B
14.8
1.17
Is HLNE Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Hamilton Lane (HLNE) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.11 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.89 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 16 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.7% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 29.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.7% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 16 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 80%
of 141 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 29.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 16 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.3 to 52.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
69.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.766
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$85.32
Resistance
$94.11
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$86.86
Above
EMA 21
$84.72
Above
EMA 50
$85.23
Above
EMA 200
$105.25
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
54
Growth
78
Profitability
1
Financial Health
84
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.8×
P/B Ratio
4.06×
PEG Ratio
29.49
Dividend Yield
0.03%
52W High
$161.13
52W Low
$71.88
Quality & Growth
ROE
27.2%
ROA
10.8%
Gross Margin
69.9%
Operating Margin
42.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.39
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of 29.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.7%; Current ratio of 1.62 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.39; Free cash flow margin of 1.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (10.09); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+0.6% -> -3.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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