NASDAQ · STOCK
InterDigital
$304.82
52W $247.67 – $412.60
54/100
$7.88B
26.0
1.41
Is IDCC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates InterDigital (IDCC) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.51 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 31 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 33.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -15.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 83 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 55%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 33.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 7.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -15.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 83 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 31 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.0 to 53.5.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 83% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 6 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 51->68 (+17); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 35.
- Technical Analyst: score 42->54 (+12); +2 bearish signal(s); +2 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
83.7
Overbought
MACD Histogram
4.560
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$296.34
Resistance
$382.61
Bollinger %B
1.16
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$276.52
Above
EMA 21
$271.84
Above
EMA 50
$276.91
Above
EMA 200
$296.63
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
59
Growth
45
Profitability
1
Financial Health
89
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.0×
P/B Ratio
6.55×
PEG Ratio
-0.74
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$412.60
52W Low
$247.67
Quality & Growth
ROE
36.9%
ROA
19.7%
Gross Margin
85.5%
Operating Margin
43.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.5x; PEG ratio of -0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.4%; Gross margin of 0.9%; Current ratio of 1.74 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (20.43); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 266.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+78.3% -> +58.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -36.5%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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