NASDAQ · STOCK
Illinois Tool Works
$268.72
52W $238.82 – $303.16
56/100
$76.38B
24.5
1.02
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 80% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.257) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.3% downside vs 0.6% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
54.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.257
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$254.47
Resistance
$270.19
Bollinger %B
0.64
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$268.12
Above
EMA 21
$265.24
Above
EMA 50
$262.29
Above
EMA 200
$260.95
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
31
Growth
40
Profitability
89
Financial Health
17
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.5×
P/B Ratio
22.16×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.43%
52W High
$303.16
52W Low
$238.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
9739.0%
ROA
1941.0%
Gross Margin
4412.0%
Operating Margin
2642.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+290.0%
Debt / Equity
2.78
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 22.2x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 2.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of -5.2%; Return on equity of 97.4%; Return on assets of 19.4%; Net margin of 19.3%; Gross margin of 44.1%; Current ratio of 1.21 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.78; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.7%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (-3.2% -> -2.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.257) — bearish momentum.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.3% downside vs 0.6% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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