NASDAQ · STOCK
Lennox International
$415.82
52W $411.41 – $616.50
48/100
$14.37B
18.8
1.16
Is LII Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lennox International (LII) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.98 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.02 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 73.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 14.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- RSI at 13 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 24 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 73.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 14.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -2.0% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 13 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 29.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.4 to 48.0.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
12.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-15.937
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
-0.09
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$483.00
Below
EMA 21
$512.96
Below
EMA 50
$521.60
Below
EMA 200
$522.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
64
Profitability
2
Financial Health
56
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.8×
P/B Ratio
11.12×
PEG Ratio
-3.31
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$616.50
52W Low
$411.41
Quality & Growth
ROE
67.6%
ROA
19.3%
Gross Margin
33.1%
Operating Margin
19.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.56
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.1x; PEG ratio of -3.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.7%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.57 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.56; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (21.29); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-24.7% -> +130.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -1.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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