NASDAQ · STOCK
Lockheed Martin
$582.90
52W $417.00 – $692.00
54/100
$134.49B
21.4
0.11
Is LMT Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Lockheed Martin (LMT) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.78 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.22 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 52.8% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 52.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 200 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.23 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 51%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 86.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 52.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.23) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 200 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.7 to 54.2.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 62->66 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
73.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
6.376
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$500.48
Resistance
$616.95
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$564.04
Above
EMA 21
$546.25
Above
EMA 50
$538.74
Above
EMA 200
$538.51
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
58
Growth
82
Profitability
1
Financial Health
20
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.4×
P/B Ratio
15.30×
PEG Ratio
0.40
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$692.00
52W Low
$417.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
74.7%
ROA
8.4%
Gross Margin
11.8%
Operating Margin
11.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.3x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.7%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.19 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.34; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (37.92); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-13.3% -> +23.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 8.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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