NASDAQ · STOCK
Middleby
$133.61
52W $89.16 – $148.55
47/100
$6.04B
-15.8
1.33
Is MIDD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Middleby (MIDD) Watch with a composite score of 47/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.92 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.08 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.37 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -14.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -18.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 39.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 98%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -14.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -18.7% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 39.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.9 to 47.1.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 57% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->49 (-12); +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.514
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$132.80
Resistance
$144.94
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$134.11
Below
EMA 21
$139.04
Below
EMA 50
$145.44
Below
EMA 200
$145.82
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
56
Profitability
0
Financial Health
91
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-15.8×
P/B Ratio
2.66×
PEG Ratio
0.13
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$148.55
52W Low
$89.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
-10.0%
ROA
-4.4%
Gross Margin
38.0%
Operating Margin
-2.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.80
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -15.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.96 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.80; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (10.64); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+2.1% -> -10.7% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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