NASDAQ · STOCK
Mueller Industries
$66.46
52W $41.17 – $70.95
53/100
$14.69B
17.0
1.12
Is MLI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Mueller Industries (MLI) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.86 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -24.0% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 75 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 25.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 25.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -24.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 75 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 25.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.1 to 52.9.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 57% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
71.5
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.058
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$62.29
Resistance
$69.64
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.50
Above
EMA 21
$62.94
Above
EMA 50
$63.09
Above
EMA 200
$59.28
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
51
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.0×
P/B Ratio
4.07×
PEG Ratio
0.78
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$70.95
52W Low
$41.17
Quality & Growth
ROE
30.7%
ROA
25.4%
Gross Margin
27.3%
Operating Margin
21.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.1x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 4.78 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.72); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+35.5% -> +20.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -42.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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