NASDAQ · STOCK
Marathon Petroleum
$283.30
52W $158.00 – $283.68
55/100
$82.71B
17.7
0.53
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a neutral lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 78.6 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (100.0) confirms overbought conditions.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 27.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 1.90 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 115.0% YoY
− Revenue declining -0.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 79 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 1.90) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
78.6
Overbought
MACD Histogram
3.022
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.97
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$271.70
Above
EMA 21
$263.81
Above
EMA 50
$254.42
Above
EMA 200
$219.79
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
55
Profitability
43
Financial Health
34
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.7×
P/B Ratio
2.82×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.41%
52W High
$283.68
52W Low
$158.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
2733.0%
ROA
555.0%
Gross Margin
1192.0%
Operating Margin
654.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-92.0%
Debt / Equity
1.90
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -0.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of 115.0%; Return on equity of 27.3%; Return on assets of 5.5%; Net margin of 3.4%; Gross margin of 11.9%; Current ratio of 1.26 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.90; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 118.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+35.2% -> -59.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 78.6 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (100.0) confirms overbought conditions.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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