NASDAQ · STOCK
Monolithic Power Systems
$1,424.59
52W $706.00 – $1714.09
59/100
—
80.3
1.71
Is MPWR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.08 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.92 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 19.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.71 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 107.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 12.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- EPS declining -62.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 11%
of 172 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 19.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 107.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -62.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 52 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.3 to 58.9.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->66 (+9); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.000
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$989.86
Resistance
$1713.12
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$1,320.77
Above
EMA 21
$1,348.78
Above
EMA 50
$1,392.84
Above
EMA 200
$1,237.84
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
83
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
80.3×
P/B Ratio
16.60×
PEG Ratio
-1.40
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$1714.09
52W Low
$706.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
17.4%
ROA
14.7%
Gross Margin
55.2%
Operating Margin
28.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 80.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 16.6x; PEG ratio of -1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 4.98 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (12.78); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.6%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+6.5% -> +27.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 54.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full MPWR Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →