NASDAQ · STOCK
MSA Safety
$189.89
52W $151.11 – $208.92
61/100
—
43.6
0.94
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is MSA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates MSA Safety (MSA) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.97 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.03 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 1.4% downside vs 0.8% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 5%
of 158 Industrials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 56.0 to 61.0.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell sharply from 83% to 60%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst, Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 52->82 (+31); +2 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->62 (+4).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 59).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.406
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$171.69
Resistance
$175.57
Bollinger %B
0.68
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$174.43
Above
EMA 21
$172.14
Above
EMA 50
$170.21
Above
EMA 200
$170.66
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
49
Growth
81
Profitability
1
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
43.6×
P/B Ratio
4.86×
PEG Ratio
-1.01
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$208.92
52W Low
$151.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
20.4%
ROA
10.9%
Gross Margin
47.6%
Operating Margin
22.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 43.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; PEG ratio of -1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 3.24 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (6.63); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 11.3%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.4% -> +20.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 24.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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