NASDAQ · STOCK
MACOM Technology Solutions
$282.81
52W $118.16 – $418.90
54/100
—
113.8
1.66
Explore MTSI Further
Is MTSI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 27.1% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 49.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or below 30 signals oversold conditions — bullish entry bias.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-7.185) — bearish momentum.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 115.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 27.1% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 49.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.6 to 53.6.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.5
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-7.184
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$197.97
Resistance
$417.12
Bollinger %B
0.15
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$292.00
Below
EMA 21
$317.96
Below
EMA 50
$328.30
Below
EMA 200
$259.65
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
51
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
113.8×
P/B Ratio
14.28×
PEG Ratio
0.18
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$418.90
52W Low
$118.16
Quality & Growth
ROE
-4.1%
ROA
-2.6%
Gross Margin
55.3%
Operating Margin
16.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.27
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 113.8 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.3x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.0%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 7.52 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.27; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.03); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.4%; EPS growth roughly steady (+8.5% -> +6.9% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-7.185) — bearish momentum.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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