NASDAQ · STOCK
MasTec
$262.86
52W $160.08 – $441.43
50/100
$20.79B
41.4
1.77
Is MTZ Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates MasTec (MTZ) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.52 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 111.2% yoy. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 46.7 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 111.2% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.84 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 46.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 88%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 46.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 111.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 48.4 to 49.5.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 7 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 66->78 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 64->58 (-6).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-7.284
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$185.28
Resistance
$429.22
Bollinger %B
-0.16
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$316.17
Below
EMA 21
$339.43
Below
EMA 50
$356.35
Below
EMA 200
$308.01
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
44
Growth
52
Profitability
0
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
41.4×
P/B Ratio
5.91×
PEG Ratio
0.48
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$441.43
52W Low
$160.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
12.2%
ROA
3.9%
Gross Margin
11.5%
Operating Margin
5.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 41.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.9x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.40 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.93; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.16); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 38.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+0.0% -> -32.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -6.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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