NASDAQ · STOCK
Netflix Inc.
$71.69
52W $65.08 – $126.71
51/100
$298.60B
22.2
1.52
Is NFLX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Netflix Inc. (NFLX) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.81 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.4% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 35.3% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.52 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 80%
of 31 Communication Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 48.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 16.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 35.3% YoY
− 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 50.0 to 50.8.
- Conviction changed from high to moderate.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 86% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: score 60->53 (-6).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.598
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$68.57
Resistance
$94.14
Bollinger %B
0.45
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$71.71
Below
EMA 21
$72.57
Below
EMA 50
$76.77
Below
EMA 200
$89.22
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
57
Growth
37
Profitability
1
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.2×
P/B Ratio
9.96×
PEG Ratio
0.65
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$126.71
52W Low
$65.08
Quality & Growth
ROE
41.3%
ROA
19.8%
Gross Margin
49.1%
Operating Margin
29.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.47
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 22.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.0x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.4%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.3%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.47; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (2.62); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+25.0% -> +14.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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