NASDAQ · STOCK
Northrop Grumman
$539.53
52W $493.84 – $774.00
60/100
$77.42B
16.9
-0.11
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Bullish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Bullish Engulfing.
- Bullish candlestick patterns signal potential reversal or continuation of upside.
Bear Case
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 16.4% downside vs 0.9% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 28.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 26.0% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 59 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
56.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
4.675
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$450.91
Resistance
$544.48
Bollinger %B
0.63
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$534.26
Above
EMA 21
$533.34
Above
EMA 50
$554.09
Below
EMA 200
$590.45
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
63
Profitability
62
Financial Health
52
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.9×
P/B Ratio
4.88×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.81%
52W High
$774.00
52W Low
$493.84
Quality & Growth
ROE
2805.0%
ROA
915.0%
Gross Margin
2052.0%
Operating Margin
1163.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+495.0%
Debt / Equity
0.94
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 5.0%; EPS growth (YoY) of 26.0%; Return on equity of 28.1%; Return on assets of 9.2%; Net margin of 10.8%; Gross margin of 20.5%; Current ratio of 1.10 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.94; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (-5.7% -> -15.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 16.4% downside vs 0.9% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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