NASDAQ · STOCK
NOV Inc.
$19.43
52W $11.78 – $21.55
48/100
$6.93B
74.7
0.92
Is NOV Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates NOV Inc. (NOV) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +11.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -8.43 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee sees neither a compelling opportunity nor a clear risk at this stage. Conditions remain neutral — patience is warranted.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 76.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 1.4% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -84.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 97%
of 40 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 0.9x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 76.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -1.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.3 to 48.4.
- Conviction changed from contested to moderate.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 43% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 69->58 (-10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
45.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.007
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$19.18
Resistance
$20.71
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$19.64
Below
EMA 21
$19.55
Below
EMA 50
$19.56
Below
EMA 200
$18.29
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
51
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
74.7×
P/B Ratio
1.13×
PEG Ratio
-0.95
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$21.55
52W Low
$11.78
Quality & Growth
ROE
2.3%
ROA
1.3%
Gross Margin
20.5%
Operating Margin
5.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.37
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 74.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.42 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.37; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (1.56); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 86.3%; EPS growth accelerating (+350.0% -> +520.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 6.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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