NASDAQ · STOCK
ODFL
$234.06
52W $126.01 – $252.03
60/100
—
48.4
1.18
Explore ODFL Further
Is ODFL Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates ODFL (ODFL) Watch with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
Bear Case
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 19.3% downside vs 0.7% upside.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 23.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 48.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Revenue declining -4.8% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.01) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.8 to 59.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.298
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$186.92
Resistance
$233.24
Bollinger %B
0.82
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$229.23
Above
EMA 21
$226.35
Above
EMA 50
$221.42
Above
EMA 200
$194.81
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
70
Profitability
1
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
48.4×
P/B Ratio
10.97×
PEG Ratio
-4.55
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$252.03
52W Low
$126.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
23.8%
ROA
18.3%
Gross Margin
30.9%
Operating Margin
24.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 48.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.0x; PEG ratio of -4.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.2%; Net margin of 0.2%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.57 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (4.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 6.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-14.8% -> +4.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 19.3% downside vs 0.7% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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