NASDAQ · STOCK
PACCAR Inc.
$124.44
52W $92.25 – $131.88
64/100
$64.88B
26.2
1.00
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: Revenue declining -14.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Bullish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Morning Star.
Bear Case
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.1% downside vs 3.9% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 26.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -14.2% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
61.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.337
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$110.61
Resistance
$129.28
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$122.58
Above
EMA 21
$120.56
Above
EMA 50
$118.77
Above
EMA 200
$114.19
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
24
Profitability
41
Financial Health
42
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.2×
P/B Ratio
2.99×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.14%
52W High
$131.88
52W Low
$92.25
Quality & Growth
ROE
1281.0%
ROA
562.0%
Gross Margin
1986.0%
Operating Margin
1269.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-1416.0%
Debt / Equity
0.81
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.2 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -14.2%; EPS growth (YoY) of -28.7%; Return on equity of 12.8%; Return on assets of 5.6%; Net margin of 8.9%; Gross margin of 19.9%; Current ratio of 0.71 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.81; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.7%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-5.4% -> +8.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 11.1% downside vs 3.9% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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