NASDAQ · STOCK
Phillips 66
$211.69
52W $118.07 – $216.08
56/100
$84.87B
20.8
0.68
Is PSX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Phillips 66 (PSX) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.25 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — news sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 49 articles, 14d) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 128.8% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Revenue declining -2.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 70 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price structure (LH_LL) contradicts the uptrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 77 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 23.8% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 40 Energy peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
Growth Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 128.8% YoY
− Revenue declining -2.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 70 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 23.8% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 49 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 59.4 to 56.2.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 57% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 79->70 (-9); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 63->57 (-6); +2 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.2
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.078
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Bollinger %B
0.75
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$207.52
Above
EMA 21
$200.34
Above
EMA 50
$189.39
Above
EMA 200
$165.10
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
85
Growth
56
Profitability
0
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
35
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.8×
P/B Ratio
2.98×
PEG Ratio
0.16
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$216.08
52W Low
$118.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
15.1%
ROA
6.0%
Gross Margin
7.0%
Operating Margin
4.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.95
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 1.13 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.95; Free cash flow margin of 0.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.30); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 221.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (-2.0% -> -80.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full PSX Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →