NASDAQ · STOCK
Phillips 66
$188.34
52W $118.07 – $190.66
59/100
$76.11B
18.3
0.72
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 57% agreement on a neutral lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 73.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.3) confirms overbought conditions.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Bearish Engulfing.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 18.4% downside vs 1.2% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 2.7% pays you to wait
Growth Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 128.8% YoY
− Revenue declining -2.4% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 74 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
73.8
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.045
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$153.69
Resistance
$190.53
Bollinger %B
0.97
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$181.58
Above
EMA 21
$177.98
Above
EMA 50
$175.14
Above
EMA 200
$158.43
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
56
Profitability
36
Financial Health
66
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.3×
P/B Ratio
1.79×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.68%
52W High
$190.66
52W Low
$118.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
1472.0%
ROA
532.0%
Gross Margin
1252.0%
Operating Margin
208.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-239.0%
Debt / Equity
0.68
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -2.4%; EPS growth (YoY) of 128.8%; Return on equity of 14.7%; Return on assets of 5.3%; Net margin of 3.1%; Gross margin of 12.5%; Current ratio of 1.30 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.68; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 221.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (-2.0% -> -80.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 73.8 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (96.3) confirms overbought conditions.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Bearish Engulfing.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 18.4% downside vs 1.2% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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