NASDAQ · STOCK
Ryder
$256.91
52W $157.67 – $284.25
53/100
—
21.0
1.01
Is R Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ryder (R) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 37 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 37 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.50 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.89 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 63%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Debt-to-equity of 2.50 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.50) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 37 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 62.3 to 52.6.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 60% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 85->62 (-22).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst joined: bearish at 32.
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 56.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
34.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.820
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$185.59
Resistance
$284.06
Bollinger %B
0.10
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$264.41
Below
EMA 21
$265.79
Below
EMA 50
$259.90
Below
EMA 200
$224.20
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
49
Growth
69
Profitability
0
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
21.0×
P/B Ratio
3.49×
PEG Ratio
9.72
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$284.25
52W Low
$157.67
Quality & Growth
ROE
16.4%
ROA
3.0%
Gross Margin
18.9%
Operating Margin
7.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of 9.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 0.64 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.59; Free cash flow margin of 0.3% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (17.66); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.8%; EPS growth accelerating (-29.2% -> +46.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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