NASDAQ · STOCK
Rocket Lab
$64.94
52W $37.57 – $151.00
57/100
$37.60B
-198.7
2.55
Is RKLB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Rocket Lab (RKLB) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.00 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 45.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 2.67 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 21.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -12.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 57.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− Price-to-book of 21.6x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
83
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 45.8% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 57.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 141 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.6 to 57.0.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 50% to 71%.
- New bearish signals: 5 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 5 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst, Technical Analyst.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 35->58 (+22); +1 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 43.
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
40.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.298
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$63.90
Resistance
$73.97
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$66.03
Below
EMA 21
$73.61
Below
EMA 50
$84.75
Below
EMA 200
$79.23
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
67
Growth
92
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
12
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-198.7×
P/B Ratio
17.37×
PEG Ratio
-13.78
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$151.00
52W Low
$37.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
-11.5%
ROA
-8.5%
Gross Margin
36.6%
Operating Margin
-33.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -198.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 17.4x; PEG ratio of -13.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.1%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -0.3%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 4.47 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow margin of 2.0% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.52); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-200.0% -> +22.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full RKLB Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →