NASDAQ · STOCK
RTX Corporation
$215.22
52W $150.61 – $221.34
56/100
$290.06B
37.4
0.30
Is RTX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates RTX Corporation (RTX) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.68 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.32 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.3 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 76 -- overbought on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 32%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 37.3 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.40 across 165 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.5 to 56.3.
- New bearish signals: 6 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: score 61->70 (+9); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 35->52 (+18); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
73.1
Overbought
MACD Histogram
1.456
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.83
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$210.87
Above
EMA 21
$203.52
Above
EMA 50
$195.38
Above
EMA 200
$183.74
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
47
Growth
78
Profitability
0
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.4×
P/B Ratio
4.37×
PEG Ratio
1.50
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$221.34
52W Low
$150.61
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.3%
ROA
3.9%
Gross Margin
20.3%
Operating Margin
11.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.4x; PEG ratio of 1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.59; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (8.91); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 12.6%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+14.8% -> +6.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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