NASDAQ · STOCK
StandardAero
$29.31
52W $23.83 – $34.48
55/100
$9.74B
32.6
0.91
Is SARO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates StandardAero (SARO) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.42 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.58 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — news sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d) — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 305.0% YoY — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 47%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 32.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ EPS growing 305.0% YoY
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.39 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.9 to 54.6.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 57% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 35->52 (+18); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
60.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.130
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$25.90
Resistance
$29.61
Bollinger %B
0.70
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$28.80
Above
EMA 21
$28.35
Above
EMA 50
$27.77
Above
EMA 200
$27.74
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
27
Profitability
0
Financial Health
90
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.6×
P/B Ratio
3.57×
PEG Ratio
0.10
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$34.48
52W Low
$23.83
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.4%
ROA
4.2%
Gross Margin
14.3%
Operating Margin
9.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.91
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.6x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.1%; Current ratio of 2.12 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.91; Free cash flow margin of 0.6% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.41); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 15.5%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+26.3% -> +0.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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