NASDAQ · STOCK
Sotera Health
$17.39
52W $10.98 – $19.85
51/100
—
42.4
1.77
Explore SHC Further
Is SHC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Sotera Health (SHC) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.69) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.083) — bearish momentum.
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.2% downside vs 0.1% upside.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ ROE of 20.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 43.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 277.5% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.69) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.2 to 51.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
42.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.083
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$16.16
Resistance
$17.43
Bollinger %B
0.45
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$17.84
Below
EMA 21
$17.49
Below
EMA 50
$16.78
Above
EMA 200
$15.96
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
56
Profitability
0
Financial Health
50
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
42.4×
P/B Ratio
7.97×
PEG Ratio
0.11
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$19.85
52W Low
$10.98
Quality & Growth
ROE
12.9%
ROA
2.4%
Gross Margin
55.0%
Operating Margin
35.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 42.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.0x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.6%; Current ratio of 2.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.65; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (0.34); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+0.0% -> -30.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.083) — bearish momentum.
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 7.2% downside vs 0.1% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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