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Tenet Health

THC Healthcare Unknown Updated July 20, 2026
$196.41
52W $146.60 – $247.21
53/100
10.0
1.27
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📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
Conviction: Contested · 57% agreement · 7 analysts
+3.2%
-4.0%
0.78:1
Contested
Is THC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Tenet Health (THC) Watch with a composite score of 53/100 , based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement. Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.12) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
  • Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
  • MACD histogram is negative (-0.819) — bearish momentum.
  • Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ P/E of 9.9 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 27.4% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
54 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.12) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 53.4 to 53.1.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.820
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$186.46
Resistance
$200.41
Bollinger %B
0.52
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$195.56 Above
EMA 21
$192.51 Above
EMA 50
$189.25 Above
EMA 200
$190.21 Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
90
Growth
68
Profitability
1
Financial Health
23
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio 10.0×
P/B Ratio 3.50×
PEG Ratio 0.37
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $247.21
52W Low $146.60
Quality & Growth
ROE 33.3%
ROA 4.7%
Gross Margin 42.8%
Operating Margin 16.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 2.74
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 10.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.5x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.4%; Current ratio of 1.36 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.74; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (38.58); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.1%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+27.0% -> +2.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
  • MACD histogram is negative (-0.819) — bearish momentum.
  • Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
  • Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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