NASDAQ · STOCK
Simon Property Group
$218.76
52W $159.33 – $229.59
63/100
$71.25B
15.4
1.34
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.888) — bearish momentum.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 126.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 11.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 85.1% YoY
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.46) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.888
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$221.54
Below
EMA 21
$219.03
Below
EMA 50
$212.36
Above
EMA 200
$195.66
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
49
Growth
59
Profitability
100
Financial Health
0
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.4×
P/B Ratio
11.71×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
4.10%
52W High
$229.59
52W Low
$159.33
Quality & Growth
ROE
12627.0%
ROA
1276.0%
Gross Margin
8158.0%
Operating Margin
4828.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+1092.0%
Debt / Equity
5.46
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 15.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 11.7x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 10.9%; EPS growth (YoY) of 85.1%; Return on equity of 126.3%; Return on assets of 12.8%; Net margin of 70.6%; Gross margin of 81.6%; Current ratio of 0.52 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.46; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.5%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-76.9% -> +244.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.888) — bearish momentum.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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