NASDAQ · STOCK
Sterling Infrastructure
$596.82
52W $244.02 – $1005.68
57/100
$18.31B
52.7
1.83
Is STRL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Buy with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 86% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +18.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -1.59 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — revenue growing 37.0% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 32.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 37.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 30.6% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.26) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 54.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 36.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
86%
Analysts
7
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 31%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 32.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 54.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 37.0% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.26) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 36.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.2 to 56.6.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 43% to 86%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 6 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 62->55 (-6).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-7.751
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$364.35
Resistance
$1005.64
Bollinger %B
0.27
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$607.05
Below
EMA 21
$658.53
Below
EMA 50
$695.74
Below
EMA 200
$543.61
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
22
Growth
80
Profitability
1
Financial Health
63
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
52.7×
P/B Ratio
15.38×
PEG Ratio
1.71
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$1005.68
52W Low
$244.02
Quality & Growth
ROE
26.2%
ROA
11.0%
Gross Margin
23.3%
Operating Margin
17.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.29
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 52.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.4x; PEG ratio of 1.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.3%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.10 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.29; Free cash flow margin of 0.8% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (14.36); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 50.6%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-5.4% -> +10.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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