NASDAQ · STOCK
Terex
$62.84
52W $41.70 – $74.69
52/100
$4.60B
0.6
1.49
Is TEX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Terex (TEX) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.42 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 25 articles, 14d). Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 65.0 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.52 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 25 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 65.0 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- ROE of only 4.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- EPS declining -42.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 65.0 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− EPS declining -42.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 25 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 56.2 to 52.4.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 5 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +2 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 61->48 (-13).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
35.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.515
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$55.13
Resistance
$64.26
Bollinger %B
0.15
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$65.41
Below
EMA 21
$66.02
Below
EMA 50
$65.23
Below
EMA 200
$60.21
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
86
Profitability
0
Financial Health
92
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
0.6×
P/B Ratio
0.84×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$74.69
52W Low
$41.70
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.5%
ROA
3.6%
Gross Margin
17.7%
Operating Margin
5.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.00
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 0.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 1.82 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.00; Free cash flow margin of 0.7% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.16); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-12.5% -> +39.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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