NASDAQ · STOCK
UFP Industries
$84.91
52W $77.89 – $118.00
57/100
—
18.7
1.23
Explore UFPI Further
Is UFPI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates UFP Industries (UFPI) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 7 analysts with 43% agreement.
Last updated July 20, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -1.9% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.188) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
43%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− Revenue declining -1.9% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.07) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.8 to 56.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-19 to 2026-07-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.188
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$84.82
Resistance
$89.25
Bollinger %B
0.37
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$85.87
Below
EMA 21
$85.92
Below
EMA 50
$86.32
Below
EMA 200
$92.55
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
31
Profitability
0
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.7×
P/B Ratio
1.55×
PEG Ratio
-0.74
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$118.00
52W Low
$77.89
Quality & Growth
ROE
9.6%
ROA
7.3%
Gross Margin
16.6%
Operating Margin
5.4%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.08
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of -0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.0%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 4.64 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.08; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (5.28); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 20.8%; 4 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-45.7% -> +27.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.188) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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