NASDAQ · STOCK
Valero Energy
$280.58
52W $130.78 – $284.28
63/100
$72.49B
18.3
0.57
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a bullish lean. Growth Analyst: 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 22.3% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- RSI at or above 70 signals overbought conditions — bearish entry bias.
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
Bear Case
- RSI is overbought at 70.1 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (93.9) confirms overbought conditions.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 70 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
70.1
Overbought
MACD Histogram
2.752
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$271.73
Above
EMA 21
$263.07
Above
EMA 50
$253.48
Above
EMA 200
$215.18
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
70
Profitability
44
Financial Health
85
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.3×
P/B Ratio
2.09×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.03%
52W High
$284.28
52W Low
$130.78
Quality & Growth
ROE
1763.0%
ROA
706.0%
Gross Margin
559.0%
Operating Margin
466.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
-278.0%
Debt / Equity
0.45
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; Revenue growth (YoY) of -2.8%; EPS growth (YoY) of 383.8%; Return on equity of 17.6%; Return on assets of 7.1%; Net margin of 3.4%; Gross margin of 5.6%; Current ratio of 1.65 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.45; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 32.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+4.4% -> +10.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- RSI is overbought at 70.1 — momentum may be exhausted.
- Stochastic RSI (93.9) confirms overbought conditions.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
Get the Full VLO Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →
Mobile