NASDAQ · STOCK
Wabtec
$290.85
52W $184.26 – $306.64
54/100
$49.13B
39.0
0.94
Is WAB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Wabtec (WAB) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 7 analysts with 57% agreement.
Last updated July 31, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.08 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.92 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Technical Analyst sees a compelling case — price structure making higher highs and higher lows. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 57 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 38.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 31, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 53%
of 158 Industrials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 38.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is mixed or neutral -- not a strong tailwind or headwind either way
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 57 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2744.14)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.0 to 53.9.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 43% to 57%.
- New bearish signals: 4 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 65->58 (-8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-07-30 to 2026-07-31 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
2.294
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.71
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$289.81
Above
EMA 21
$280.78
Above
EMA 50
$272.09
Above
EMA 200
$248.60
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
20
Growth
63
Profitability
0
Financial Health
60
Cash Flow
37
Valuation
P/E Ratio
39.0×
P/B Ratio
4.38×
PEG Ratio
3.54
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$306.64
52W Low
$184.26
Quality & Growth
ROE
10.5%
ROA
5.3%
Gross Margin
34.3%
Operating Margin
16.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.62
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 39.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.4x; PEG ratio of 3.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.1%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.12 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.62; Free cash flow margin of 0.9% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (10.93); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.9%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+29.0% -> +1.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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