NASDAQ · STOCK
Air Products
$294.90
52W $229.11 – $314.87
64/100
$65.67B
—
0.74
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is APD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Air Products (APD) Buy with a composite score of 64/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 01, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +10.89 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -9.11 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. The main limiting factor is sector concentration is already high (hhi 2535.03). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 01, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 3%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2535.03)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened significantly from 54.0 to 64.1.
- Recommendation changed from Watch to Buy.
- Conviction strengthened -- analysts aligned more closely.
- Committee agreement increased sharply from 50% to 80%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 4 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Macro Analyst, News Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 70->82 (+12); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Macro Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 58->70 (+12).
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 55->62 (+6).
- Portfolio Manager: +2 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
Comparing 2026-07-31 to 2026-08-01 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.527
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$284.92
Resistance
$295.22
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$295.95
Below
EMA 21
$295.17
Below
EMA 50
$292.70
Above
EMA 200
$284.56
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
50
Growth
75
Profitability
0
Financial Health
42
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
4.73×
PEG Ratio
14.99
Dividend Yield
0.02%
52W High
$314.87
52W Low
$229.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
-2.6%
ROA
-1.0%
Gross Margin
32.1%
Operating Margin
-4.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.31
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -1417.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.7x; PEG ratio of 15.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.0%; Return on assets of -0.0%; Net margin of -0.0%; Gross margin of 0.3%; Current ratio of 1.08 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.31; Free cash flow margin of 0.5% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (9.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.7%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+1.3% -> +8.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 12.3%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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