NASDAQ · STOCK
Commercial Metals
$67.71
52W $49.66 – $84.87
61/100
—
12.2
1.53
Explore CMC Further
Is CMC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Commercial Metals (CMC) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 7 analysts with 71% agreement.
Last updated July 21, 2026.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 1594.8% yoy. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 26.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 21, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
71%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 12.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 1594.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2975.52)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.1 to 61.1.
Comparing 2026-07-20 to 2026-07-21 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.525
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$58.07
Resistance
$79.66
Bollinger %B
0.49
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$65.33
Above
EMA 21
$66.47
Above
EMA 50
$68.43
Below
EMA 200
$66.67
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
99
Growth
74
Profitability
0
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
36
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.2×
P/B Ratio
1.60×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.01%
52W High
$84.87
52W Low
$49.66
Quality & Growth
ROE
2.0%
ROA
1.2%
Gross Margin
18.6%
Operating Margin
9.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 12.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.0%; Return on assets of 0.0%; Net margin of 0.1%; Gross margin of 0.2%; Current ratio of 2.33 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.75; Free cash flow margin of 0.4% (thin cash generation); Free cash flow per share is positive (3.65); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-37.0% -> +49.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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