NASDAQ · STOCK
Essex Property Trust
$293.55
52W $238.46 – $303.35
60/100
$18.71B
32.7
0.71
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
7 analysts weighed in with 43% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Risk Analyst: Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily and weekly trends are both bullish — multi-timeframe alignment, highest confidence.
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.066) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.9% downside vs 0.4% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
57%
Analysts
7
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Dividend yield of 3.6% pays you to wait
− P/E of 32.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -15.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
57
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.71 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.36 across 11 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.066
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$276.36
Resistance
$294.72
Bollinger %B
0.69
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$292.80
Above
EMA 21
$288.45
Above
EMA 50
$279.56
Above
EMA 200
$267.54
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
53
Growth
47
Profitability
74
Financial Health
32
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.7×
P/B Ratio
3.07×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
3.56%
52W High
$303.35
52W Low
$238.46
Quality & Growth
ROE
1030.0%
ROA
436.0%
Gross Margin
7056.0%
Operating Margin
4180.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+527.0%
Debt / Equity
1.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 5.3%; EPS growth (YoY) of -15.0%; Return on equity of 10.3%; Return on assets of 4.4%; Net margin of 30.0%; Gross margin of 70.6%; Current ratio of 0.71 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.23; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 17.4%; EPS growth accelerating (-51.2% -> +32.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.066) — bearish momentum.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 5.9% downside vs 0.4% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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